Joe Biden and Donald Trump won their respective parties` nominations for the 2024 presidential election a few weeks ago, setting up the first White House rematch since the mid-20th century.
Can President Biden overcome the discontent of those who chose “uncommitted “and similar options in the Democratic primaries, largely opposing your political book about the Israel-Hamas war?
Similarly, will former President Trump win over Republican primary voters in November who remain loyal to former rival Nikki Haley, a month after she dropped out of the race?
Although Tuesday’s primary showed that the number of non-Biden and Trump votes was relatively small compared to those who supported them, they could still influence the 2024 election if it is closely pushed and decided by a few closely divided states, as happened in 2016.
Tuesday’s 4,444 preliminary results showed Biden and Trump both losing more votes within their parties than the total that decided Wisconsin in the last two general election cycles.
And on the Republican side, with 99% of the expected vote, about 76,000 voters chose Haley over Trump.
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In the mid-March nominating race in Arizona, where there was no “uneducated “or similar option, about 45,000 Democratic voters still chose someone other than Biden – and about 132,000 Republicans voted for a Republican candidate other than Trump, although Arizona’s polling period included two weeks when Haley was still a candidate before ending his run.
In 2020, Biden won Arizona in the general election over Trump by just 11,000 votes. History shows that the bases of the major parties – no matter how fractured they are by policy and personality differences in the primaries – eventually largely coalesce around their candidate.
Obama won the general election, although he lost to Republican candidate Mitt Romney in the swing state of North Carolina by about 92,000 votes.
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The Biden-Trump rematch is the first repeat of such an election in the United States since 1952 and 1956. In the primary race, the country now faces the longest general election season in recent history – more than seven months – even as polls reflect unusual uncertainty levels, according to 538.
Another unusual dynamic this year is the level of hate for Biden and Trump: Both men have negative approval ratings, and together, they have higher average disapproval ratings than any presidential race since 1980.
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As with non-Biden and Trump primary voters, their November decisions are considered potentially influential if they decide to vote.
“I don’t even want to vote anymore. it’s a nightmare,” Joann Kama, a retired African American voter in Amityville, New York, told ABC News recently.
Kama said she is “very depressed “about the ongoing elections and politics in the United States and has no plans to vote in November.
John Jackson, a Florida voter who said he is currently unemployed, also told ABC News in a recent interview that he plans to vote in the general election but is “not enthusiastic” about the topic.
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