With just seven months left until the big election day, it seems like President Joe Biden is having a good run against his Republican opponent, Donald Trump, according to some polls that came out recently.
The Democratic candidate is ahead in ten different polls from the past month, although experts say it’s still too early to bet on the winner since Trump is doing pretty well in some other polls too.
Here’s a breakdown of the polls where Biden seems to be winning:
1. Florida Atlantic University and Mainstreet
In this one, 47 percent side with Biden, while 45 percent say they are voting for Trump. But when they counted everyone, both got 44 percent. This poll talked to 1,053 adults between March 15 and 17, with a +/- 3.0 percent margin of error.
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2. RMG Research
Out of 1,679 voters polled from April 1 to 4, 44 percent of high propensity voters said they’d pick Biden, and 43 percent went for Trump. The margin of error here is 2.4 percent.
3. Data for Progress
From March 27 to 29, 1,200 likely voters gave their thoughts: 47 percent sided with Biden, and 46 percent with Trump, with a margin of error of +/- 3 percentage points.
4. Ipsos
An April poll for Reuters showed that 41 percent of registered voters prefer Biden over Trump’s 37 percent. This survey, with 833 registered voters, has a 4 percentage point margin of error.
5. Quinnipiac University
Their March 27 poll talked to 1,407 registered voters, with 48 percent saying they’re with Biden and 45 percent with Trump. Margin of error? +/- 2.6 percentage points.
6. Marquette Law School
From March 18 to 20, 45 percent of likely voters said they’d vote for Biden and 44 percent for Trump. But among registered voters, it was 44 percent for Trump and 42 percent for Biden.
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7. Marist College
In their March 25 to 28 poll with 1,305 people for NPR, Biden got 50 percent support from registered voters, while Trump got 48 percent. The margin of error? +/- 3.7 percentage points.
8. I&I/TIPP
A poll from April 3 to 5 showed that 43 percent of 1,265 registered voters like Biden, while 40 percent want Trump. The margin of error here is +/- 2.8 percentage points.
9. Noble Predictive
From March 11 to 15, a poll of 2,510 registered voters found 44 percent going for Biden and 43 percent for Trump. The margin of error is +/- 2 percent.
10. Progress Action Fund
This Democratic super PAC’s poll conducted by Public Policy Polling showed Biden leading Trump 46 percent to 45 percent. With 837 registered voters surveyed from March 12 to 13, it has a margin of error of +/- 3.4 percentage points.
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“The polling over the last several months indicate this is a very close race. I wouldn’t read too much into any one or two polls at this point. The trend seems to be that the campaign will be a very tight one and I suspect the polls will reflect that until November.” said Heath Brown, a public policy professor at City University of New York.
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