As the 2024 election day is here and the presidential campaign comes to an end, let’s take a look at the poll. Rounding off his election campaign, Donald Trump attended a rally in Raleigh, North Carolina. Subsequently, the former president attended another rally in Reading, Pennsylvania.
Trump, who is rounding his four-stop tour of the state, is expected in Pittsburgh, from where he will spend the night at Grand Rapids, Michigan. The four-stop tour ended with a huge rally and a performance on the steps of the Philadelphia Art Museum.
Similarly, Trump’s opponent, Kamala Harris, was present in Reading before continuing on to Allentown, Pennsylvania, and Pittsburgh. According to NBC’s early vote tracker, almost 75 million Americans have already cast their ballots in person or by mail. Well, who is in the lead?
What Are the Latest Presidential Polls Showing for the 2024 Election?
On Tuesday, November 5, 2024, voters are participating in the Kamala Harris and Donald Trump elections. Since April 2024, tDemocratic and Republican candidates have been debating campaign pledges on immigration, the economy, and health care.
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According to Real Clear Politics average, Trump leads Harris by a mere 0.1 percentage points. In pivotal swing states, it’s also close. For instance, the average of Wisconsin polls from Real Clear Politics has Harris ahead of Trump by 0.3 percentage points.
According to FiveThirtyEight’s election projections, Trump is expected to win the Electoral College 53 times out of 100. The poll went on to project Harris winning the Electoral College 47 times out of 100. According to statistician Nate Silver’s model, Trump has a 51.5% chance of winning.
However, according to FiveThirtyEight’s polling average, Harris has an average advantage over Trump. Meanwhile, Nate Silver’s Silver Bulletin projection has Harris up 0.9 points, and the polling average from RealClearPolitics shows Trump up 0.2 points.
Who Is Leading Polls for the 2024 Presidential Election?
Although election prediction defers based on the margin of error, most polls suggest Trump is the lead. With the election day here, Trump and Harris need wins in key swing states like Georgia, Michigan, and North Carolina.
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In a Pennsylvania survey, 53% of Latino voters found insults about Puerto Rico at a Trump rally “extremely disrespectful.” According to the Election Lab, the University of Florida has reported that over 78 million Americans have already cast their ballots.
Interestingly, the Times polls show that Harris is up two points in North Carolina, a state Trump won in both of his prior elections. Additionally, the poll added that Harris is up three in Nevada, where some early voting observers believed Republicans looked strong.
The Times polls show that Harris is up two points in Wisconsin, an important swing state in the 2020 presidential election. Trump holding four rallies in North Carolina near the campaign’s end, showed his staff’s concern about their state’s prospects.
Perhaps this indicates that Harris can’t count on the Rust Belt, as the Times polls also show Michigan and Pennsylvania close. Additionally, they display a 1-point gap in Georgia, which we probably shouldn’t take too seriously.
Is Kamala Harris Leading the Polls?
According to fresh research, Kamala Harris is leading among early voters in the battleground states of the United States. With over 77.6 million ballots already cast, the U.S. election is set for a display.
According to reports, Kamala Harris leads among those who have already cast their ballots by 8%. However, Trump leads Harris among those who say they are very likely to vote but have not yet done so. According to a New York Times/Siena College poll, Trump led in one swing state, with Harris slightly ahead in three others.
Harris, at her last event in Michigan, vowed to work towards ending the violence in Gaza, aiming to gain support from Arab and Muslim Americans. Approximately 240,000 Muslims are registered voters in Michigan, and the majority of them supported Biden in 2020.
However, the administration’s position on Israel’s conflict in Gaza has angered Arab Americans and Muslim Americans in the state.
Who Is Winning the US Presidential Election According to Polls?
As the election is ongoing, speculations about the winner of the 2024 US presidential election are not verifiable yet as polls and odds are constantly fluctuating. However, as of November 4, 2024, BC News Project 538 shows that Harris is leading Donald Trump with an edge of 48.0% to 46.9%.
According to 270Towin, a combination of the most recent national surveys shows that Kamala Harris is now 1.2% ahead of Trump.
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